Global warming a serious issue?

Is GEBE right, and is global warming a serious problem? Conclusion, there is proof for their statement, but it’s not something that good governance and planning can overcome….

The increased load demand due to rising temperatures and economic growth is a significant challenge for power utilities worldwide. Here are some key points from the provided sources:

  1. Transmission and Capacity Expansion Planning: A study on transmission and capacity expansion planning in Arizona found that rising temperatures reduce thermal limits of lines and generation potential, leading to congestion and reduced efficiency. Optimal control requires considering both temperature changes and transmission flows with high spatial resolution[1].
  2. Economic Growth and Electricity Demand: Research on the impact of economic growth on electricity demand in South Africa found that a positive mismatch (supply > demand) boosts economic growth in the long run. This suggests that promoting energy efficiency measures and expanding electricity supply can contribute to economic growth[2].
  3. Long-Term Load Forecasting: A study on the impact of climate change on long-term load forecasting in New York State found that rising temperatures will lead to increased electricity demand. The study used historical meteorological data to quantify the geo-spatially and seasonally rising temperature at each load zone across NYS[4].
  4. Demand-Side Management: A home energy management algorithm was developed to manage power consumption at the appliance level during demand response events. This can help reduce peak load demand and maintain comfort levels[6].
  5. Renewable Power Generation: Research on the impact of monsoon intraseasonal variability on renewable power generation in India found that monsoon phases can lead to lower temperatures and higher wind-power output, while monsoon breaks result in higher temperatures and lower wind-power output. This highlights the importance of considering meteorological factors in renewable energy planning[7].
  6. Financial Development and Electricity Demand: A study on the association between electricity consumption and economic growth in Pakistan found that financial development drives electricity consumption and economic growth. This underscores the importance of financial development in supporting economic growth and electricity demand[11].
  7. Cold Load Pick-Up: Research on the magnitude and duration of Cold Load Pick-Up (CLPU) on residential distribution feeders found that accurately modeling CLPU events is crucial for developing improved restoration strategies that minimize restoration times[12].
  8. Temperature and Energy Use: Studies on the impact of temperature changes on residential energy use found that rising temperatures reduce energy demand for heating purposes, but the speed of that decrease declines with rising temperature levels. This highlights the importance of considering non-linearities in the impact of temperature on energy demand[13][15].

These studies demonstrate the complexity of managing increased load demand due to rising temperatures and economic growth. Utilities must consider various factors, including transmission and capacity expansion planning, demand-side management, renewable power generation, financial development, and temperature impacts on energy use to ensure reliable and efficient electricity supply.

Citations:
[1] https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.12687
[2] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/2b99ec222ba950d8f1660f49aee284a7d4de55f1
[3] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/b7e1e20fab4fae8cd12196131514a10298db4ae8
[4] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/b7619705a781b42b7a582fd5677fa22abe008492
[5] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/0d6125f9a945485a189474672d07919902844fc6
[6] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/29bfc6885785b2d5590c5e5687f7b146105f5650
[7] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/1c9fee910034a44cc84c6c2efdf3b6e0267075b1
[8] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10076405/
[9] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7904507/
[10] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/4841d1a8bb4995bb29148c23b1cd7ba08345d0a1
[11] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/6a86a55dd79d2156145e404fed8292003732f2d0
[12] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/0e7938052b647836312bf61b4184cf054787d7bc
[13] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/a9bebfbc27b99846ce3fb1fedd2cc0530590c5a0
[14] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/d4c68e472200dcdf24d9bcdab0f79f723929f47a
[15] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/3473a9042c5d6d83ce4921bddf94da233bae1bf9
[16] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/dffcc3df28b232b8a96f0023b9ded68827ac93cc
[17] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/9e48666b6056fab7546bcb5dbf231550acd518c6
[18] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/dd15e4e999b24980acceca0606a0148f526b67ca
[19] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/fd481cbbfd9f5f3a839205e7fc9fad6bde856bf5
[20] https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/ff5875962447b1997692d16fb03d4ea53ce76f48