First data analysis

Introduction

The following analysis provides an in-depth examination of power outages, attributed to load shedding, reported in various regions of Sint Maarten. Despite the platform being active for only three days, the data collected provides some provisional insights. This analysis demonstrates the significant impact of each individual’s input, helping to identify key areas of concern and opportunities for improvement in power management and customer satisfaction for NV GEBE. The primary reason for the outages is a shortage of 10-15 MW due to aging and defective generators, a consequence of poor management over the years. The analysis focuses on four main aspects: the frequency of outages, the average duration of outages, frustration levels at different times of the day, and a timeline of outages, with a particular emphasis on fairness in distribution.

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Highlights Summary

  1. Frequency of power outages per region:
    • Colebay and Cupecoy have the highest number of reported outages, indicating that these regions are disproportionately affected by load shedding. This suggests possible inefficiencies in the distribution of power cuts.
    • Defiance and Middle Region also show a high frequency of outages, necessitating further investigation into the fairness of load shedding practices.
  2. Average duration of power outages per region:
    • Middle Region stands out with an exceptionally high average duration, indicating that power outages here tend to last significantly longer. This points to severe infrastructure issues or slower response times in this region.
    • South Reward and Little Bay also show longer durations, highlighting the need for improved maintenance or quicker response strategies.
  3. Average frustration level by hour of the day:
    • Frustration levels are notably higher during the early morning hours (1 am – 3 am) and late evening hours (9 pm – 11 pm). These times are particularly disruptive to residents’ routines, suggesting the need for better communication and management of load shedding schedules during these periods.
  4. Timeline of power outages:
    • Certain dates show significantly higher outage counts, possibly due to specific events or peak load periods. Identifying these dates helps in understanding the causes and preparing better for future load shedding schedules.

Detailed Explanation of Outliers

Frequency of power outages per region

Graph Description: This bar chart shows the number of power outages reported in each region of Sint Maarten.

Outliers:

  • Colebay and Cupecoy: These regions have the highest number of reported outages, indicating they are often targeted for load shedding. This could suggest an imbalance in the distribution of power cuts, necessitating a review of the load shedding strategy to ensure fairness.
  • Defiance and Middle Region: These regions also show a high frequency of outages, highlighting a need for a more equitable distribution of load shedding across the island.

Average duration of power outages per region

Graph Description: This bar chart displays the average duration of power outages (in minutes) for each region.

Outliers:

  • Middle Region: Shows an exceptionally high average duration, suggesting that power restoration takes significantly longer in this region. This could indicate severe infrastructure issues or inadequate response efforts.
  • South Reward and Little Bay: These regions also show longer durations, indicating a need for improved maintenance or more efficient power restoration strategies.

Average frustration level by hour of the day

Graph Description: This line chart plots the average frustration level reported by residents based on the start hour of the power outage.

Outliers:

  • Early morning (1 am – 3 am): Frustration levels are higher during these hours, possibly due to the inconvenience of being without power during sleeping hours or early preparation times.
  • Late evening (9 pm – 11 pm): Higher frustration levels during these hours could be due to the disruption of evening activities and preparations for the next day.

Timeline of power outages

Graph Description: This bar chart shows the number of power outages reported on each date over the observed period.

Outliers:

  • Specific dates with high outage counts: Dates with significantly higher outage counts might correspond to particular events, such as peak load periods or specific generator failures. Identifying these dates can help in preparing better for such events and managing load shedding schedules more effectively.

Impact and Future Steps

This analysis underscores the importance of individual contributions in identifying and addressing power outage issues in Sint Maarten. By focusing on the outliers and areas with the most significant problems, NV GEBE can prioritize efforts to enhance power reliability and customer satisfaction. Future steps include:

  • Targeted infrastructure improvements: Especially in regions like Middle Region, South Reward, and Little Bay, where outages are longer.
  • Enhanced maintenance and response strategies: To reduce the frequency and duration of outages in high-frequency areas like Colebay and Cupecoy.
  • Better communication during critical hours: To manage frustration levels during early morning and late evening outages.
  • Preparedness for high outage dates: By analyzing patterns and preparing for events that could lead to high outage counts.
  • Review of load shedding practices: Ensure a fair and equitable distribution of power cuts across all regions to prevent certain areas from being disproportionately affected.

This analysis serves as an example of the immense value derived from individual contributions, helping to shape a more resilient and reliable power supply system for the future.

We want to thank you all for your reports! Keep on doing it and this will never be forgotten!